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of the trading day starts right now. >>> good afternoon, everybody. america's energy problems be gone. the genie we have been hoping for for four decades now will arrive and the u.s. will serve up more oil than saudi arabia in the year 2020. that according to a new report by people who actually do know the oil business very well. >>> and sex and the ceo. and the collateral damage. how widespread is sex at work? we really want the answer to that question? >>> what should the consequences be. >>> and no hockey. forget about that. no problem. look what the world of auto racing brought us over the weekend. a brawl! another black eye for a sport that corporate america was counting on? no fighting here at cnbc. sue's with me here again. nice to have you here, sue. >> it is great to be here, ty. those "fast money" guys got me all riled up over there. they're having a good time. >>> we're going to take a look at the markets right now. dow jones industrial average has turned into positive territory, not by too much, but hey if you're a bull, we'll take it. the s&p is up two. the nasdaq up almost eight on
energy independent. our traders separate fact from fiction. what is smart money doing right now? we are showing bets on a potential washington slow down. sometimes investing opportunities are hard to spot. you have to dig a little. fidelity's etf market tracker shows you the big picture on how different asset classes are performing, and it lets you go in for a closer look at areas within a class or sector that may be bucking a larger trend. i'm stephen hett of fidelity investments. the etf market tracker is one more innovative reason serious investors are choosing fidelity. get 200 free trades today and explore your next investing idea. >>> welcome back to "fast money." with a market flash on facebook shares rallying on another ipo lockup expiration set for wednesday november 14 when the lockup of another 804 million shares will expire. we saw the volume surging mid day after the stock was under pressure. the stock turning a quarter to end higher. likely those buying the dip ahead of the lockup. >>> thank you very much. scott nations important to point out the first lockup delayed b
saudi arabia? could an abundance of shale oil in the u.s. actually bring about energy independence by the year 2020? we drill for the truth straight ahead. and how rich is rich? the president wants higher taxes for americans earning more than $250,000 a year. is that fair? or should that number actually be $1 million? and could this be the key to resolving the looming fiscal cliff? that and a lot more is still to come on the "closing bell." >>> if a budget is not agreed upon to avoid the fiscal cliff, the average middle class family will pay $2,000 more in taxes. >> that's right. crunch time is upon us. the markets and economy will be held hostage until lawmakers do reach a deal on the fiscal cliff, presumably between now and the end of the year. >> eamon javers is breaking down the plan. over to you. >> just before the break, you and bill were debating whether or not it's too early to start getting sweaty palms about in fiscal cliff problem in washington. as a guy covering capitol hill for almost 20 years, i can tell you it's never too early to panic about what washington might do
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called black elk energy operates that rig. reports are that a worker may have cut a line with a settling torch. four people have been rushed to the hospital, two are reportedly still missing. so far we have no reports of oil actually leaking into the gulf. >>> meanwhile, also breaking right now, the u.n. nuclear agency says iran is about to double output of higher enriched uranium. now that is a material that can easily be turned, we're told, into a nuclear warhead. sharon epperson is following the oil impact on both of those breaking stories. sharon, over to you. >> brent crude prices are higher as well as wti but you may expect that they would have been even higher based on the news that we're hearing. we do see brent crude futures above $108 a barrel and wti futures near the $87 mark. we are seeing a continuation of pretty big spread though between these two contracts. traders here on the floor are telling me that's what lets you know it is what is happening in the middle east, it is the iran report, it is also what we are seeing in terms of the oil rig on the gulf that's lifting the
, at of the retailers of course. but monster, another big one we're watching. but energy drinks as a category is linked to adverse events and hospitalizations which is not a good thing when you're in that industry, you're looking at potential. and maybe warning labelis which are not a good thing either. >> the corner of a -- it's a triangle, jim. >> there's no resting place. here's the deal with monster. monster's last conference call, they did this remarkable test versus starbucks, and said they had less caffeine than starbucks, i actually bought a box of them at costco. i had to save them for -- and no, i mean these are really, i think, off the reservation, the five-hours. >> to say they have less caffeine than -- if i were a consumer looking for a caffeine jolt, they're saying that starbucks has more caffeine and is not linked to any adverse events. but starbucks is saying why are you lumping us into the 5-hour. maybe you should have -- at the same time the government is a -- the government doesn't come in and say, you know what? we like some energy drinks and not others. we don't like energy drinks
can burn off the inventory. clean energy fuels had them on last night. why focus on this? they have a clear growth path to build out stations. lloyd blankfein said in his editorial that key thing for growth in our country is energy. abundant energy. i thought we should look at clean energy that would benefit. markwest, this is a company that has a price above where they did secondary. look at the "wall street journal" word on the street. they say that maybe mlps have been oversold. if we're going to drill in this country for more energy, i like to think of halliburton down to 30. some people will say weatherford upgraded by a number of people and then let's not forget chesapeake. they came out this morning in a piece last night said we're more nat gas than i would like to be in ohio. when i spent time in ohio, 80% of what we put out on rigs is nat gas. you need the markwest pipeline to take natural gas to chesapeake to bring it to the east or to give it to clean energy fuels and in order to be able to drill oil, that's halliburton. that's the family of names that i'm focused on. >>
. let's check out latest news in energy and metals and go to sharon epperson at the nimax. >> the markets are jittery here. we have wti oil prices below $86 an oil and brent crude jumping up toward the 110 level. bob outlined the concerns about going over the fiscal cliff and what that means for the u.s. economy and what ripple effects it will have globally. there's also of course concern about what's going to come of the eu finance ministers meeting over greece and that's going to be an impact on the markets and we have geopolitics and israel saying they won't take direct hits from syria. that is something that the market has been watching very closely as well. the big story that has long-term ramifications for the u.s. oil industry and for the global energy trade is definitely the report today from the international energy agency where they said that they believe that the u.s. will become the top oil producer in the world by 2020. overtaking saudi arabia. overtaking russia and the fact that u.s. will be self-sufficient by 2035. this is a huge sea change in the debate tha
in equity prices on the prospects of a fiscal cliff aversion, energy and technology. technology is down double digits. energy fell off as oil prices fell down to the mid-80s, somewhat toward an uptick. >> gentlemen, thank you all. arthur, good to see you on set with us. >> thank you very much. >> thank you for joining us today. we call this fiscal cliff investing. bertha coombs joins us with the potential winners and losers in how investors can play all this with a fiscal cliff portfolio. >> and they've been doing it already. if the president and congress fail to reach a deal on the fiscal cliff the expectation is that stocks will be the big loser. defense stocks in particular with a prospect of massive budget cuts starting january 1st. now, they've been hard hit since the election, turning around a bit today. cnbc looked at a portfolio of etfs that correlate with the moves in the market on the fear of hitting fiscal cliffs in particular sectors, including etfs that short stocks, negative bets on the market, like the ultrashort s&p eft. down all year, its been a gainer since the electio
budget. after the weekend, talks collapsed. and the annual world energy outlook report in an hour and plus analysis of where oil prices can be headed. and best buy gets set to join the tablet wars with it insignia flex. what can it offer to customers that the ipad, kindle 5 and surface can't. the first japanese government may be forcesed to lower its outlook for the economy, this after reporting an 8.9% fall in third quarter gdp. at this rate, already in recession. the government's attempts at a moderate recovery has been made more difficult by tensions with china. now pressure is even mounting from the boj, but analysts say the central bank likely to hold off until after the federal reserve is due to meet. joining us for more is global chief officer of global equities. and head of japanese research at jpmorgan securities. i suppose the question is whether this contraction here in the third quarter will be followed by another one in the fourth. >> it looks quite likely. you've got bad news on exports continuing and you've got on on top of that now a contraction in public spending
we'll get the hsbc flash pmi for november. shares in hong kong faired a bit better. energy plays led the rally on ohio oil prices. elsewhere south korean shares snapped a between day losing streak helped by technology stocks and also ship builders. in us a take i can't, commodity plays lent support to the asx 200. talks of a leverage buyout plan. sensex now trading louisa, back to you. >>> the spanish bad loans according to reuters, now at the 10.7% during the month of september versus 10.5% seen in august. so according to the bank of spain, we're seeing that figure just creeping up just by a tad. now, in the u.s., a slightly grimmer picture. major u.s. indices have fallen by 5% since the election day. this month already stacking up to be the worst november for the dow and the s&p 500, ninth worst november since 1973. so it's been pretty dismal trade if you're an equity holder. hi, charles. we talk about this and we're looking at a bounce in europe this morning. do we think the grimness will continue? >> i think the equity markets, they couldn't really believe bond the election until
where energy went higher and stocks went lower. we're setting lows right now. the dow down 126 points at the 12,629 level. the nasdaq and s&p are also moving lower. the nasdaq has moved into correction territory, down about 10% from its highs set earlier this year. the s&p is down sharply as well at this hour. so it was those fed minutes, the continued fears we may go over the fiscal cliff as the negotiations are being carried out so far in a very public arena right now. we are off the worst levels of the day, but will these concerns keep investors out of the market right now? let's talk about that, shall we? >> that's what we want to in today's "closing bell" exchange. neil, let me kick this off with you. good to see you. thanks for joining us. as somebody who's putting capital to work in this market, you see a market that is down 600 points on the dow industrials. just since the election, that's 4% declines since the election on november 6th. what do you want to do here? do you want to put money in the market? >> i think you have to put money in the market but what you said is true.
and energy generation, soon rather than later, and not run that experiment? >> you're part of that effort. >> yeah. >> elon. thanks for coming by and good to see you. elon musk. that does it for us here at "squawk on the street." let's get back to the headquarters for "halftime report." >> thanks, carl. welcome to the halftime show. four hurs to go until the close. here's where we stand on the street. a nice reversal on wall street. fading just a bit, dow's good for 57. s&p and nasdaq positive as well. here's what we're following on halftime as well. cliff-hanger, as congress gets back to work what are the odds of a deal on the issues your money cares about most. several of the nation's retailers out with earnings today. which stocks should be in your bag this holiday season? but first, our top story, the tech wreck. no sector of the market is bigger, and for five straight weeks, it's been falling and falling hard. even the company considered the street's most reliable, apple, hasn't been spared. as if investors needed even more bad news, a key departure at microsoft in its most important
? looking out even further, you'd probably want to start acquiring stocks in the sectors like energy and materials. >> interesting. john, good to have you on the show. thank you for coming on. >> thanks for having me. >> simon baker, what do you think about the picks? discretionary and financials and technology and most of it predicated on something positive out of d.c. >> yeah. i like the financials and energy and housing. not so much the condition summer names over there. it's pretty big target, 1585 next year so it'd stick with the technology and financials. >> why not discretionary? getting a deal in washington, wouldn't those stocks shoot higher? >> well, okay. if you get a deal in washington, yes. but that's predicated on getting a deal. either way taxes will be higher and middle class suffer and the stocks will not really ben fate right now. >> energy and financials, are they on your radar? >> if i'm going energy, i'm going emps but as simon said, taxes have to go up on everybody and not enough money so i think the market is either going to move sideways or lower but you have
, because of the -- you know, tighter regulations, tougher to do business. but also energy. same thing on the coal and the environmental side there. so i think those two were kind of what i'll call a reset. >> so would you buy into this selloff, or do you want to take to the sidelines? i mean, the market -- let's face it, the market has done extremely well under president obama. realize it's also partly the free money and the stimulus from the federal reserve that has driven the market. but the nasdaq up nearly 90%, the dow up 50%, s&p 500 up 60%. so was this an overreaction, and would you look for opportunities to get in? >> well, you know, i think, you know, i would say fundamentally, we're looking for s&p earnings of about $100 a share next year. so that is somewhat lower than what year -- total year 2012 will be, we're also below consensus. but even still, $100 a share should support 1,400 in the s&p, which is higher than it is right now. should support 1450, potentially even 1500. so, you know, i would say we're an arranged bond market in the u.s., and really, it's going to be sub
that inflation forecast of unexpectedly large rise in home energy prices. and annoy saying inflation falling the second half of 2013 and they'll only hit the 2% target in mid 2014. so basically they're going to hit their target almost a year later than they forecast, just three months ago. so in three months, they have pushed out their target of inflation by a year. so what we're seeing now is the sterling gains against the dollar. guilt futures are extending their losses on this report because clearly it suggests they'll be reluctant to do any more qe, let alone the fact they're also questioning its efficacy as well. economic growth to fall back sharply in the fourth quarter. rpi over 3%. the squeeze on real incomes in the uk continues because of this higher inflation profile. they say use of profits from bond purchase to pay government debt the same as 35 billion of qe. that's just to remind you that what's going to happen now is the government is going to take back the interest it's already paid to the bank of england and take it back, which is what they do in japan and the u.s. anyway. >
in the oil market where the international energy agency has released another monthly report saying they see the global demand growth for oil sliding in this quarter and next year. they reduced the forecast there. we're also seeing production that is coming back online from the north sea. that's pressuring present crude prices and we expect to see another increase in crude supplies here in the u.s. for the weekly supply report. that also adding pressure to the wti contract. the only bright spark in the marketplace is natural gas. it is up for the second straight session. and there we may see a withdrawal from storage. first of the season as we get into the winter months. colder temperatures ahead also could help prop up natural gas futures. we're going to get that report on thursday from the energy information administration. i'm trying to get my acronyms straight here. on thursday we'll also get the oil report. it's going to come a day later because of the veterans day holiday. back to you guys. >> there are a lot of letters in your part of the world. >> there are. there are. >> thanks a lo
are logging losses since last week. the laggards, tech, energy, and financials. on the plus side, we're seeing consumer staples, health care, and telecom. those are the ones that have lost the least. financials, not really a surprise in terms of the laggards because president obama represents more regulation. to the energy group, he represents support of alternative energy, which in turn is bad for the oil and gas companies. with regard to technology, more regular arelation and financials could mean that private equity and venture capital firms suffer a bit. thus, tech would too. the groups that lost the least, consumer tapes, health care, and telecom, health care stocks include the hospitals. those could see a bit of a benefit when obamacare comes into play. some investors hoping that with the election behind us, we're going to see some green. with the threat of the fiscal cliff, many are expecting red as we approach the end of the year. back over to you. >> all right, jack. thanks very much. don't go anywhere. a trio of exclusive interviews kicking off the next hour of the "closing bell." >>
>>> final trades. >> sanchez energy. sm. >> freeport mcmoran. >>> scott, thank you. after a tough week last week, the bulls coming back stampede style. gangham style! look at the dow up big, 167 points. s&p and nasdaq virtually erasing last week's losses. >>> knock-knock. who's there? nobody. guess who isn't working with 42 days before we go off the fiscal cliff? congress! >>> with just about all attention focused on israel and hamas, maybe the markets and the world should focus on this rally in amman, jordan instead. see why this could shake up the reason beyond anyone's worst fears. >>> michelle is in for sue today at the nyse. welcome, michelle. >> hey, tyler. thanks. we got a nice triple digit rally today. going to start with a market alert on this big day for the markets. robert pisani, what's the story about why we're climbing today? >> nobody is around in congress to say anything bad about the fiscal cliff. everyone said, hey, we're looking good! president in bangkok said things are looking good. pelosi came out, representative pelosi, speaker of the house, said we can do a
, technology, energy, industrials, consumer products, insurance, autos are in the room today. why isn't a banking ceo in front of the president today? >> clearly, this is payback for support during the election. the unions were very, very clear. they were going in there and they were going to push obama to finally get through the employee freedom of choice act, which does away with the secret ballots which makes unions much more likely and easier to come into being. he turned his back on wall street, which by the way turns their back on him. i don't think it's an accident. >> let me -- >> let me finish. best case, extremely poor judgment, okay, that's best case. worst case it's saying, hey, you didn't support me. see you guys later. business as usual. >> let me respond to that. i actually think it was entirely appropriate for the first meeting to be with his base. that's what any president reelected or otherwise would have done. that makes perfect sense to me. i guarantee you you're not going to hear word one about the employee free choice act for the next number of months. i mean, ri
and dollar general and uping stake in natural oil. looks like energy towards energy. up in conoco phillips. new stakes deere, web co. it is a leader in commercials. 4.5 plus million shares in media general. >>> when we come back my thoughts on compromise or no compromise as the fiscal cliff edges closer and closer. back in a moment. . but today...( sfx: loud noise of metal object hitting the ground) things have been a little strange. (sfx: sound of piano smashing) roadrunner: meep meep. meep meep? (sfx: loud thud sound) awhat strange place. geico®. fifteen minutes could save you fifteen percent or more on car insurance. [ male announcer ] this is joe woods' first day of work. and his new boss told him two things -- cook what you love, and save your money. joe doesn't know it yet, but he'll work his way up from busser to waiter to chef before opening a restaurant specializing in fish and game from the great northwest. he'll start investing early, he'll find some good people to help guide him, and he'll set money aside from his first day of work to his last, which isn't rocket science. it's
, better than expectations. cpi and food energy not affected yet though there does tend to be a pop in prices after big storms like this. it is the philly fed survey that well underperformed where i think we may be seeing a lot of this. there could be some utility output in the year. there could be a whole bunch of businesses shut down and some of it what we don't know is we were accelerating the economy into the election and some of the chain store sales might have dropped off just before sandy came in. and then we seem to be getting an effect certainly in the retail sector, in cars we know. now labor. it's going to be a couple months before this washes out, pardon the pun. >> thank you, steve leisman. simon? >>> it is a busy day, tyler. lawmakers on capitol hill have released their highly anticipated report on the collapse of mf global and jon corzine's role within that. kayla tausche has the very latest. >> simon, a year in the making that 97-page report authored by the republicans on the house oversight subcommittee hardly minces words in singling out former senator jon corzine,
the market higher today. you also have strong participation from energy and materials which have been lagging over the last couple of months. lower dollar. that's a good formation that suggests this has further to go why not buy stocks today if you think we bottomed? >> i think you can buy stocks today. but -- it is always hard to do it when the market is up this much. that said we are down four straight weeks in a row. i thought the rhetoric on friday, commentary from the politicians, was encouraging. weekend commentary was encouraging and sounds like these guys get and it if they have to get something done. so if that's the case, and we get some sort of certainty whether it is a -- we kick the can down the road or actually get a deal, in the markets, can -- rally further from here. again, we have talked about going back to the companies that did very well during earnings season. something like a broad com, restructuring stories. i'm looking at emerging markets. not just a -- materials but looking at abbott leads. >> if they don't get it in washington now, they never will. right? i mean, we
.s. manufacturing driven by very low energy prices. we're self-sufficient energy for the first time in years. another company like ppg, they really own the coatings business, about 70% of revenues from coatings, they're growing 4% to 6% organically and end the year with $2.5 billion in cash. they just sold their business, another $1 billion, that $3.5 billion in cash, 60% go to grow the business, 40% return to shareholders. you've got 5%, 6% top line, 10%, 12% net income growth with stock buy back and dividend going up 15% a year. you get 2% while you wait. if things -- if we don't do it on a fiscal cliff and things get worse, not going to get hurt. >> where did you buy comcast? >> comcast we've owned for a couple of years. that's another one that has morphed into a return of capital story. when we bought it just superior business model in a tough environment. if things get better, great, employment improves, we're going to have more hook-ups, housing improves, more connections, great growth story. if things don't get better, we're trying to protect for the downside and keep that optionalty
are an energy food. >> perfect for bloomberg to go on -- if it hasn't gone bankrupt, he would have tried to shut it down. >> jeremy, will you wear a rise a above -- you asked for one. >> yeah. i saw you rising and levitating. >> goolsbee wouldn't wear one because he was sure there was right wing conspiracy. are you ready to wear one. >> >> rise before has all sorts of con know takingnotations. >> but they're all good. >> yes. but i don't have a viagra pen. >> i asked goolsbee, what about be kind to animals. >> people see whatever they want. >> i will wear an i love hot dogs pin. >> it's a hint at compromise and that's what people don't like. >> in my mind, it doesn't hit a compromise. the president needs to compromise. that's how i see it. >> the republicans don't have to rise above? >> no, they've already put revenue on on the table. now let's compromise on on entitlements. you can lower marginal rights and raise effective rates, right? >> if the president didn't stand in the way, could you have a 1986 tax deal, take off preferences. you could lower tax rates which help the economy. everyone ca
. middle east tensions having an impact on energy markets. let's go to the nimax. >> oil prices with a risk on day in the energy complex today. as you mention tensions in the middle east are a big issue. it's not so much the conflict that we're seeing in israel and gaza but you have the surrounding areas that are oil producers and post-arab spring it's a timber box that people are concerned could be ignited by conflict that we're seeing and there's no sign that conflict is easing up. impact on oil prices reflecting that geopolitical premium and it's winter so we'll see demand increases in the u.s. and china as well. wti up about 2%. same thing that we're seeing in brent. brent prices driving the heating oil and gas price higher. we're seeing a dip this morning in natural gas of course the e geopolitical issue not a big issue there. traders talking about the fiscal cliff this morning hoping to see some sort of a compromise. back over to you. >> thanks for that. if you think planning your black friday will give you an advantage this year, watch out. it turns out people are already starting
technology business is growing so solutions like that are places we're putting a large amount of our energy behind but we're also counting on the federal government to help us with some certainty, one part has been solved, we have a president for the next four years, now we have to get fiscal tax issues resolved so we can solidify, our customers can feel better and question participate more with them. >> to that point you are meeting with the president, one of many ceos who will be meeting with him tomorrow i believe. what do you plan to tell the white house at that point? what is the most important issue and how do you come at it in terms of giving him some feedback for what the business communities sees in all of this? >> first thing we'll do is listen a little bit to what he has to say and what his plans are for the second term, but i think the business community and me in particular have been very clear. we need a solution to this fiscal cliff that's coming. i have to believe that logic will prevail here with some hard work and it will get a solution and we also need a tax policy that i
no nuclear energy by 2030. he says big election issues will be energy and economy. we may hear more from him with regard to stimulus or the election. if we do, we'll bring you that news when we get it. >>> now to gaza. the prime minister has arrived following two days of air strikes in which 19 palestinians and three israelis have reportedly been killed so far. joining us now from tel aviv where we know rockets landed nearby last night is martin fletcher. the fact that the rocket has the range capacity seems to be raising eyebrows. >> reporter: it handed pretty close. one landed in the sea and two more landed in other areas in open fields. didn't do any damage. but the symbolism is great because one of israel's key goals have been to destroy the long range capability of has mass. so the fact that after hundreds of israeli raids and strikes against those rocket centers hamas was able to launch rockets at tel aviv which nearly hit, that's a main success for hamas. >> you can talk about the visit by the prime minister and there was continued violence during the period? >> reporter: the egyptian
. telecoms and utilities and energy. does today's rally change the way you view the markets? >> if you look friday morning when apple was at 504, apple is proxy for the market now. we talk about it as a stock of sentiment having nothing to do with what is happening in the company and how it changed ichb three hours and today another 37 billion dollars. another is going on in the company that is warranting those shifts. it is all sentiment. i think there is more to go. we did sell a little bit. bmw we held for a while and went back to its may levels. we sold some of that but i bought some of our hedge back. i think we could see a few more days of this. i'm not jumping in with two feet to buy into this rally. >> let's bring in dennis the editor of the letter. he joins us now. always good to see you. >> always good to be seen. >> this morning in your newsletter you wrote that you were embracing equities. is this a long embrace or a brief one? >> this is probably a flirtation. flirtation can sometimes lead to love. i was very uninterested in equities for the past two and a half weeks. the manne
at invensense. >> two in a row. we've got some real homework to do. louis in texas. >> caller: sandridge energy. sd. >> not unlike magnum hunter being challenged by a big holder. tom ward has cobbled together a lot of about g. properties for sandridge, but oil needs to be up big for this thing to work and oil's not. so the stock is going to languish and lose points. let's go to joe in maine. joe! >> caller: yes. hi, jim. my stock is arena pharmaceuticals. arna. >> even in a good market, i don't want to own arena because it's got competition from vivus and because i don't believe in the diet drugs. but you've got a chance to sell and you should do that. jim in arizona. >> caller: ak steel. >> when this stock was higher i said sell sell sell. the company argued its case to me. i said okay, i'll present the other side. the other side, their case was wrong. the stock is going lower. it's very difficult to own a steel stock, even nucor. i don't want to touch it. let's go to grant in hawaii. grant. >> caller: bwa. borg warner and considering buying more -- >> i waent you to hold off on that. why? bec
and the last administration. look at energy. look at private cultivation. look at texas. look at oklahoma. look at north dakota. they're creating jobs. then look at the epa. certainly growth is the only way out. we talk about cutting spending. we're not even cutting the baseline. we're cutting the growth in spending. >> what about jim's point of view that the deficit as a percentage of gdp is declining? >> i don't believe his math. i see trillion-dollar deficits for the last several years. i see us fighting over 2, 3, or 4 trillion over ten years when we still have a trillion every year for the last three. it doesn't add up. i don't know what jim is looking at. >> well, it's not my number. it's numbers from the government itself. >> that's good. >> the big decision you have to make when you apply fiscal austerity is how fast and how aggressive do you apply it while trying to improve the deficit but also maintain and not hamper the recovery or end the recovery. i would ask rick and everyone this, the question you have to ask yourself, who's best equipped to make that decision? is it a bunch of e
of education, energy, homeland security, interior, justice, state. in fact, it's more than we spend at all of them combined. maria, if we do nothing, by the year 2020, we'll be spending over $1 trillion a year on interest cost alone. that's $1 trillion we can't spend in this country to educate our kids or to rebuild our infrastructure or to do high-valuated research. unfortunately, it is $1 trillion that's going to be spent in those countries we're borrowing from. we'll be building the infrastructure in asia. we'll be educating those kids over there. it means we'll be building their universities so the research is done over there so the next new thing is created over there so the jobs of the future are there, not here. that's crazy. >> i think i know the answer to this next question, but i mean, what is a better outcome for the long-term fiscal health of the country? kicking the can down the road or leaving the status quo on spending and taxes or going over the fiscal cliff? i mean, do we need to go over the fiscal cliff with the four spending cuts and tax hikes to get things moving? >> th
. the sectors, very much the risk-on sectors are the ones suffering the most. so energy, materials, technology, financials, are the ones you're going to see them sell if they expect the fiscal cliff negotiations to drag on here. what's the message for the market right now? you ready buy yet on this market? >> michael shay is not ready to buy yet. however, i'll tell you it was nice to see that short-term bottom today prior to the white house press conference. it's not as though a whole lot changed. it's been the same message we've got all week. but we got the message in a different setting. we got it at the white house, and we got it after they had met. >> is any deal satisfactory for the market? just get a deal so we get some clarity of how much we're going to pay in taxes, whether it's capital gains or income or whatever it is. any deal. >> no, i don't think any deal. to me, there has to be a deal that actually finally makes sense. >> gary? >> you want to buy some drug stocks. they were not in the group that it lost, as you just -- >> health care was damaged less this week. everybody was down
will be spoken about by come jack jacobs. >>> let's go energy for a little bit. josh brown, what's going on with oil? oil is down today probably on data more than anything. you have this flare-up in the middle east we were trans fixed by. >> i'm surprised it's not up. you're probably seeing spillover from weakness in materials and people not wanting to own what are essentially short dollar trades. people are flocking to the dollar and all of these things are priced in dollars. maybe it's as simple as that. if the israeli thing escalates, they'll say oil will get running again. it will be tough to stop it once it does. >> high frequency trading and your money. it's a story that we here on "halftime" have been all over. now it's made its way to late night. >> in high frequency trading computers can move millions of shares around in minutes earning a tenth of a penny off each share. that adds up to serious money when they finally take it down to the wall street coin star. >> coming up, a sneak peek inside one of the secretive fast trading shochs and a former washington power player is warni
. >>> the energy markets on high alert on a major escalation in tensions between israeli and syrian forces. a possible ground offensive. the region is a global flash point that's seen revolution and civil war over the past couple of years. for more on this story, let's bring in george friedman. thanks so much for coming by. we appreciate it. >> pleasure. >> it does seem to be a lot of sabre rattling there between the ground forces moving closer to the border and the israeli defense minister saying that palestinian militants will, in fact, pay for the blood that was shed in israel. is this sabre rattling? because the interest of israel is not to get into a real skirmish with gaza. >> the problem is that hamas now has a missile to reach tel aviv and that's unacceptable. that's a red line for israel. the israelis probably don't know how many they have. they don't know where they're located. therefore the attack is very complicated. you can't do frit the air. you'll have to go in on the ground. it's going to be bloody and miserable. the israelis would rather not do that. the palestinians want
came out and it's something oprah and i talked a lot about. we needed more fun and energy, oprah needed to be on more often. oprah came on the network in the beginning of january and we had been on the air already for almost a year. >> she wishes she would have been on from the get-go. >> even if she was, it still would have taken. you have to make your mistakes, your stumbles, learn from it and move forward. when oprah is on own, we're usually a top five network in america, we also have "sweetie pies" a lot of talk characters during the day but the length of view is about 90 minutes so people are spending a lot of time with it. >> that's so important. >> the network is one of the fastest growing cable networks in america. >> that was going to be my question it's a pure cable play which you'd like to have because of the dual revenue stream but it's difficult to be in cable channel play if all your channels stink. if you do, then you have something and it becomes international now, that's what you're doing. >> when i got to discovery we had 13 channels in the u.s. and six channels in 00
petrol price and other energy price increases. but to a certain extent as well, the food price increases which we're beginning to see, and likely to see more of reflect changinged food presences, increasing prices for wheat even though spikes in corn and wheat prices that we've seen have been largely due to weather factors. but demands are the pressure, as well. >> for anyone trying to figure out what's going organization how sustainable are the inflation rates and are they not going to fall precipitously as the fee hikes come out. >> there will be, but if you look at the university tuition fees, that will be there for three years. it's not just something that will disappear in 12 months time. and that's an important point because when the bank of england presents it inflation forecast tomorrow, it will have to count those increases in fee as a medium term inflation pressure. they'll be there throughout the entirety of hair projections this time around. and then that has some effect on the policy making decisions. >> is that is t. for the 375, they're done? >> we suspect it probably is.
's check with the latest news in energy and metals and go to sharon epperson at the nimax. >> jim, it's all about the middle east. that's what traders are focused on at the moment. it's the reason why we're looking at wti oil prices above $86 a barrel and brent crude moving higher as well. as we continue to see fighting escalate in the gaza strip as we continue to watch what israel and what palestinians are doing in the area and the fact that there does not appear to be any cease-fire on the horizon although egypt's prime minister is in gaza today urging some international cooperation. we're also looking at the fact that oil prices here in the u.s. have basically erased this week's losses because of the gains that we're seeing currently in the oil complex. we're also hearing reports about iraqi enjoy saying that arabs should use oil to press israel over gaza. those headlines helping to cause this bid in the oil complex. in the gold market, we've seen steady declines over the last several sessions and now a little bit of stabilization in the gold market. there are concerns based on the world
would achieve some of his energy goal simply not possible. you can't do it in a short time frame. so i think there are practical questions to that. but i don't think there's a principal objection to it if you somehow combined it with the existing system that in a way that reserved the distribution of the tax burden. he doesn't want to go backward on progressivity. and i think if you can meet those tests, that's part of help saying he's open to it. they've always been skeptical that you can did all these things. spi entitlement reform, deficit reduction and tax reform in anything close to the same time frame. >> all right, john, thank you. one more thing -- becky, i'm afraid to tell you this. fi phil lebeau, he knows everything about -- the last major -- >> i saw that. >> last major airline crash in the u.s. with fatalities was the one which was right after 9/11. >> horrific. >> in new york and right after 9/11. november of 2001. >> there was a 60 minutes piece on that neighborhood because that neighborhood just got swamped again. belle harbor i believe is the name. it just got swamped
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